Difference between revisions of "LUNA Collapse in May 2022"

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In May 2022, bearish crypto conditions resulted in the depeg of subsequent collapse of [[LUNA]] which crashed from over $80 to $0.69 in the space of five days. UST is the [[stablecoin]] which can be minted with LUNA as part of the [[Terra]] ecosystem which is ran by Do Kwon.
In May 2022, bearish crypto conditions resulted in the depeg and subsequent collapse of [[LUNA]] and UST which crashed from over $80 to $0.69 in the space of five days. UST is the [[stablecoin]] which can be minted with LUNA as part of the [[Terra]] ecosystem which is ran by Do Kwon.


The collapse wiped over $40b in value in the Terra ecosystem and caused most cryptocurrencies to decline by over 20%.
The collapse wiped over $40b in value from the Terra ecosystem and the wider cryptocurrency market subsequently declined by over 20%.  


== Background ==
== Background ==
UST is a stable coin which can be minted by burning LUNA. Its redemption mechanism lets a user mint LUNA by burning UST which put further sell pressure on the stablecoin peg. In case of a depeg event, this mechanism adds severe sell pressure on LUNA as more people burn UST to then sell LUNA.
UST is a stable coin which can be minted by burning LUNA. Its redemption mechanism lets a user mint LUNA by burning UST which put further sell pressure on the stablecoin peg. In case of a depeg event, this mechanism adds severe sell pressure on LUNA as more people burn UST to then sell LUNA.


To alleviate concers about a death spiral, the Terra foundation purchased several billions of Bitcoin that could be used to help stabilize the peg in case of pressure on UST and LUNA.<ref>https://dashboard.lfg.org/</ref>
To alleviate concerns about a death spiral, the Terra foundation purchased several billions of Bitcoin that could be used to help stabilize the peg in case of pressure on UST and LUNA.<ref>https://dashboard.lfg.org/</ref>


== Initial depeg ==
== Initial depeg ==
Over the 7th of May, 9 figures of liquidity was removed from the [[Curve Finance]] pool resulting in widespread panic and a depeg of around 2% which was quickly brought under control. DoKwon implied on Twitter<ref>https://twitter.com/CaetanoManfrini/status/1523145923571814400</ref> there had been a coordinated attack to create panic and destabilize the peg by simulatenously removing funds from [[Anchor]] and Curve Finance. The Luna Guard Foundation also announced it had loaned $1.5b as a further effort to protect UST<ref>https://twitter.com/LFG_org/status/1523512201088143360</ref>.
Over the 7th of May, 9 figures of liquidity was removed from the [[Curve Finance]] pool resulting in widespread panic and a depeg of around 2% which was quickly brought under control. Do Kwon implied on Twitter<ref>https://twitter.com/CaetanoManfrini/status/1523145923571814400</ref> there had been a coordinated attack to create panic and destabilize the peg by simultaneously removing funds from [[Anchor]] and Curve Finance. The Luna Guard Foundation also announced it had loaned $1.5b as an additional effort to protect UST.<ref>https://twitter.com/LFG_org/status/1523512201088143360</ref>


== Rescue efforts and second depeg ==
== Rescue efforts and second depeg ==
As concern for a death spiral kept mounting, The Block reported that the Luna Foundation Guard was raising over $1b to prevent any further damages<ref>https://www.theblockcrypto.com/post/145978/luna-foundation-guard-seeks-more-than-1-billion-to-shore-up-ust-stablecoin-sources</ref>. The deal would allow several large investment firms to purchase discounted and locked LUNA tokens.  
As concern for a death spiral kept mounting, The Block reported that the Luna Foundation Guard was raising over $1b to prevent any further damages.<ref>https://www.theblockcrypto.com/post/145978/luna-foundation-guard-seeks-more-than-1-billion-to-shore-up-ust-stablecoin-sources</ref> The deal would allow several large investment firms to purchase discounted and locked LUNA tokens.  
[[File:Binance UST-USDT Chart.png|thumb|Binance UST Chart]]
[[File:Binance UST-USDT Chart.png|thumb|Binance UST Chart]]
When the price of LUNA kept declining, rumours spread that the deal had fallen apart and that the bailout would not be coming after all and UST further declined to a low of $0.22. LUNA also fell by over 90% to a low of $0.69.
When the price of LUNA kept declining, rumors spread that the deal had fallen apart and that the bailout would not be coming after all and UST further declined to a low of $0.22. LUNA also fell by over 90% to a low of $0.69.
 
Citadel and BlackRock denied involvement in the attack against Luna after rumours surfaced on Twitter that the two firms were involved in the attack..<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-11/citadel-securities-says-not-involved-in-terra-stablecoin-crash</ref>
 
Do Kwon tweeted that Terra would increase the redemption capacity of UST to allow the peg to stabilize quicker.<ref>https://twitter.com/stablekwon/status/1524331171189956609</ref>
 


Citadel and BlackRock denied involvement in the attack against Luna after rumors surfaced on Twitter that the two firms were involved in the attack..<ref>https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-11/citadel-securities-says-not-involved-in-terra-stablecoin-crash</ref>


Do Kwon tweeted that Terra would increase the redemption capacity of UST to allow the peg to stabilize quicker.<ref>https://twitter.com/stablekwon/status/1524331171189956609</ref> This would result in more LUNA being in circulation, with some crypto twitter users estimating a 6x increase in circulating supply.<ref>https://twitter.com/pythianism/status/1524432742892507136</ref>


The efforts are ongoing.
== Aftermath ==
== Aftermath ==
Crypto fund Arca whose main holding was UST incurred significant losses and emailed investors to let them know they believed UST would regain its peg.<ref>https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/05/11/crypto-fund-arca-doubled-down-on-ust-amid-stablecoins-collapse/</ref>
Crypto fund Arca whose main holding was UST incurred significant losses and emailed investors to let them know they believed UST would regain its peg.<ref>https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/05/11/crypto-fund-arca-doubled-down-on-ust-amid-stablecoins-collapse/</ref>
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US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen mentioned the depeg event to suggest the need for further regulation of stablecoins.<ref>https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2022/05/11/ust-meltdown-hasnt-spurred-us-financial-stability-council-meeting-sources/</ref>
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen mentioned the depeg event to suggest the need for further regulation of stablecoins.<ref>https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2022/05/11/ust-meltdown-hasnt-spurred-us-financial-stability-council-meeting-sources/</ref>


Terra TVL went from $35b to less than $3b in five days<ref>https://defillama.com/chain/Terra</ref>.
Terra TVL went from $35b to less than $3b in five days.<ref>https://defillama.com/chain/Terra</ref>


TVL for the entire DeFi industry declined by over 50%.
TVL for the entire DeFi industry declined by over 50%. From May 7th to May 11th, Anchor’s UST deposits depleted from $17b to $2.6b.<ref>https://defillama.com/protocol/anchor#</ref>


As wider concerns for the health of stablecoins spread in the markets, Curve Finance saw a lot of traders swapping away from Tether's USDT. Another algorithmic stablecoin called USDN also fell to as low as $0.78.<ref>https://blockworks.co/how-will-ust-crash-impact-other-stablecoins/</ref>
As wider concerns for the health of stablecoins spread in the markets, Curve Finance saw a lot of traders swapping away from Tether's USDT. Another algorithmic stablecoin called USDN also fell to as low as $0.78.<ref>https://blockworks.co/how-will-ust-crash-impact-other-stablecoins/</ref>

Revision as of 23:44, 11 May 2022

In May 2022, bearish crypto conditions resulted in the depeg and subsequent collapse of LUNA and UST which crashed from over $80 to $0.69 in the space of five days. UST is the stablecoin which can be minted with LUNA as part of the Terra ecosystem which is ran by Do Kwon.

The collapse wiped over $40b in value from the Terra ecosystem and the wider cryptocurrency market subsequently declined by over 20%.

Background

UST is a stable coin which can be minted by burning LUNA. Its redemption mechanism lets a user mint LUNA by burning UST which put further sell pressure on the stablecoin peg. In case of a depeg event, this mechanism adds severe sell pressure on LUNA as more people burn UST to then sell LUNA.

To alleviate concerns about a death spiral, the Terra foundation purchased several billions of Bitcoin that could be used to help stabilize the peg in case of pressure on UST and LUNA.[1]

Initial depeg

Over the 7th of May, 9 figures of liquidity was removed from the Curve Finance pool resulting in widespread panic and a depeg of around 2% which was quickly brought under control. Do Kwon implied on Twitter[2] there had been a coordinated attack to create panic and destabilize the peg by simultaneously removing funds from Anchor and Curve Finance. The Luna Guard Foundation also announced it had loaned $1.5b as an additional effort to protect UST.[3]

Rescue efforts and second depeg

As concern for a death spiral kept mounting, The Block reported that the Luna Foundation Guard was raising over $1b to prevent any further damages.[4] The deal would allow several large investment firms to purchase discounted and locked LUNA tokens.

Binance UST Chart

When the price of LUNA kept declining, rumors spread that the deal had fallen apart and that the bailout would not be coming after all and UST further declined to a low of $0.22. LUNA also fell by over 90% to a low of $0.69.

Citadel and BlackRock denied involvement in the attack against Luna after rumors surfaced on Twitter that the two firms were involved in the attack..[5]

Do Kwon tweeted that Terra would increase the redemption capacity of UST to allow the peg to stabilize quicker.[6] This would result in more LUNA being in circulation, with some crypto twitter users estimating a 6x increase in circulating supply.[7]

The efforts are ongoing.

Aftermath

Crypto fund Arca whose main holding was UST incurred significant losses and emailed investors to let them know they believed UST would regain its peg.[8]

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen mentioned the depeg event to suggest the need for further regulation of stablecoins.[9]

Terra TVL went from $35b to less than $3b in five days.[10]

TVL for the entire DeFi industry declined by over 50%. From May 7th to May 11th, Anchor’s UST deposits depleted from $17b to $2.6b.[11]

As wider concerns for the health of stablecoins spread in the markets, Curve Finance saw a lot of traders swapping away from Tether's USDT. Another algorithmic stablecoin called USDN also fell to as low as $0.78.[12]

Crypto markets also declined by over 20% with some currencies tied to the Terra ecosystem falling by over 60% in two days.[13]

Do Kwon outlined his plan for Terra after $LUNA fell more than 90%.[14]

Sources